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Mental Math

Powers, Roots & Logarithms

Easy2โ€“3 hrsPowersRootsLogarithmsRule of 72

Overview

Powers and logarithms appear constantly in trading โ€” from compound returns to options (log-normal model) to vol scaling. The two key mental shortcuts: Rule of 72 for doubling times, and the โˆš252 โ‰ˆ 16 scaling factor for converting daily vol to annual. These come up on every trading floor.

How to Recognize

  • โ†’Compound interest, option pricing, doubling times
  • โ†’'Approximately how long to double at X% per year?'
  • โ†’Risk questions with exponential decay/growth

Step-by-Step Approach

  1. 1.Rule of 72: years to double โ‰ˆ 72/rate%. At 8%: 72/8 = 9 years
  2. 2.ln(1+x) โ‰ˆ x for small x (within 1%). So 5% annual growth: ln(1.05)โ‰ˆ0.05
  3. 3.Memorize: โˆš2โ‰ˆ1.414, โˆš3โ‰ˆ1.732, โˆš5โ‰ˆ2.236, โˆš10โ‰ˆ3.162
  4. 4.Powers of 2: 2ยนโฐโ‰ˆ1000, 2ยฒโฐโ‰ˆ10โถ, 2ยณโฐโ‰ˆ10โน

Key Formulas

01Rule of 72: Tdoubleโ‰ˆ72/r%T_{double} \approx 72/r\%
02lnโก(1+x)โ‰ˆx\ln(1+x) \approx x for xx small; exโ‰ˆ1+xe^x \approx 1+x for small xx
03eโ‰ˆ2.718e \approx 2.718, e0.5โ‰ˆ1.65e^{0.5} \approx 1.65, e0.1โ‰ˆ1.105e^{0.1} \approx 1.105
04Annualizing: ฯƒannual=ฯƒdailyร—252โ‰ˆฯƒdailyร—16\sigma_{annual} = \sigma_{daily} \times \sqrt{252} \approx \sigma_{daily} \times 16

Worked Examples

0Quick Example
Daily vol = 1%. Annual vol โ‰ˆ 1% ร— โˆš252 โ‰ˆ 1% ร— 16 = 16%.

Problem

A stock has daily vol of 1.5%. What is the approximate annual volatility?

Solution

1

Annual vol = daily vol ร— โˆš(trading days). Trading days โ‰ˆ 252.

2

โˆš252 โ‰ˆ 15.87 โ‰ˆ 16. (Memorize this!)

3

Annual vol โ‰ˆ 1.5% ร— 16 = 24%.

Answer

Annual vol โ‰ˆ 24%. Quick formula: daily vol ร— 16 = annual vol.

Common Mistakes

  • !

    Annualizing vol by multiplying by 252 instead of โˆš252. Variance scales linearly, volatility scales with โˆštime.

  • !

    Rule of 72 is approximate โ€” use for quick estimates, not precise calculations.

Practice Problems

Click "Show Answer" to reveal
1

Annualize a monthly vol of 3%.

Hint: Monthly to annual: ร— โˆš12 โ‰ˆ ร— 3.46.
2

At 10% annual return, how long to 10ร— your money?

Hint: Use ln(10)/ln(1.1) or note: double every 7.2 years ร— 3.32 doublings.
3

Approximate โˆš0.5.

Hint: โˆš(1/2) = 1/โˆš2 โ‰ˆ 1/1.414.

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